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Council of Economic Advisers

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For the body that advises the Scottish Government, see Council of Economic Advisers (Scotland). For another similarly sounding agency within the U.S. federal government, see National Economic Council (United States).
Council of Economic Advisers
Agency overview
Formed1946; 78 years ago (1946)
Preceding agencies
HeadquartersEisenhower Executive Office Building
EmployeesAbout 35
Agency executive
Parent agencyExecutive Office of the President of the United States
Websitewh.gov/cea Edit this at Wikidata

The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) is a United States agency within the Executive Office of the President established in 1946, which advises the president of the United States on economic policy.[2] The CEA provides much of the empirical research for the White House and prepares the publicly-available annual Economic Report of the President.[3] The council is made up of its chairperson and generally two to three additional member economists. Its chairperson requires appointment and Senate confirmation, and its other members are appointed by the President.

Activities

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Economic Report of the President

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The report is published by the CEA annually in February, no later than 10 days after the Budget of the US Government is submitted.[4] The president typically writes a letter introducing the report, serving as an executive summary. The report proceeds with several hundred pages of qualitative and quantitative research reviewing the impact of economic activity in the previous year, outlining economic goals for the coming year (based on the President's economic agenda), and making numerical projections of economic performance and outcomes.[5] The data referenced or used in the report are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.[citation needed]

History

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Establishment

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The Truman administration established the Council of Economic Advisers via the Employment Act of 1946 to provide presidents with objective economic analysis and advice on the development and implementation of a wide range of domestic and international economic policy issues. It was a step from an "ad hoc style of economic policy-making to a more institutionalized and focused process". The act gave the council the following goals:

1. to assist and advise the President in the preparation of the Economic Report;

2. to gather timely and authoritative information concerning economic developments and economic trends, both current and prospective, to analyze and interpret such information in the light of the policy declared in section 2 for the purpose of determining whether such developments and trends are interfering, or are likely to interfere, with the achievement of such policy, and to compile and submit to the President studies relating to such developments and trends;

3. to appraise the various programs and activities of the Federal Government in the light of the policy declared in section 2 for the purpose of determining the extent to which such programs and activities are contributing, and the extent to which they are not contributing, to the achievement of such policy, and to make recommendations to the President with respect thereto;

4. to develop and recommend to the President national economic policies to foster and promote free competitive enterprise, to avoid economic fluctuations or to diminish the effects thereof, and to maintain employment, production, and purchasing power;

5. to make and furnish such studies, reports thereon, and recommendations with respect to matters of Federal economic policy and legislation as the President may request.[6]

In 1949 Chairman Edwin Nourse and member Leon Keyserling argued about whether the advice should be private or public and about the role of government in economic stabilization.[7] Nourse believed a choice had to be made between "guns or butter" but Keyserling argued for deficit spending, asserting that an expanding economy could afford large defense expenditures without sacrificing an increased standard of living. In 1949, Keyserling gained support from Truman advisors Dean Acheson and Clark Clifford. Nourse resigned as chairman, warning about the dangers of budget deficits and increased funding of "wasteful" defense costs. Keyserling succeeded to the chairmanship and influenced Truman's Fair Deal proposals and the economic sections of NSC 68 that, in April 1950, asserted that the larger armed forces America needed would not affect living standards or risk the "transformation of the free character of our economy".[8]

1950s–80s

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During the 1953–54 recession, the CEA, headed by Arthur Burns, deployed non-traditional neo-Keynesian interventions, which provided results later called the "steady fifties" wherein many families stayed in the economic "middle class" with just one family wage-earner. The Eisenhower Administration supported an activist contracyclical approach that helped to establish Keynesianism as a possible bipartisan economic policy for the nation. Especially important in formulating the CEA response to the recession—accelerating public works programs, easing credit, and reducing taxes—were Arthur F. Burns and Neil H. Jacoby.[9]

Until 1963, during its first seven years the CEA made five technical advances in policy making, including the replacement of a "cyclical model" of the economy by a "growth model", the setting of quantitative targets for the economy, use of the theories of fiscal drag and full-employment budget, recognition of the need for greater flexibility in taxation, and replacement of the notion of unemployment as a structural problem by a realization of a low aggregate demand.[10]

The 1978 Humphrey–Hawkins Full Employment Act required each administration to move toward full employment and reasonable price stability within a specific time period. It has been criticized for making CEA's annual economic report highly political in nature, as well as highly unreliable and inaccurate over the standard two or five year projection periods.[11]

1980–present

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Since 1980, the CEA has focused on sources of economic growth, the supply side of the economy, and on international issues.[7] In the wake of the Great Recession of 2008–09, the Council of Economic Advisers played a significant role in supporting the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.[12]

Organization

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The council and staff during the Biden administration, in March 2023

The council's chairman is nominated by the president and confirmed by the United States Senate. The members are appointed by the president. As of July 2017, the council's eighteen person staff consisted of a chief of staff (Director of Macroeconomic Forecasting), fifteen economists (five senior, four research, four staff economists, two economic statisticians) and two operations staff.[13] Many of the staff economists are academics on leave or government economists on temporary assignment from other agencies.[12]

Composition

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Chairs

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Image Name Start End President
Edwin Nourse August 9, 1946 November 1, 1949 Harry Truman
(1945–1953)
Leon Keyserling November 2, 1949
Acting: November 2, 1949 – May 10, 1950 		January 20, 1953
Arthur Burns March 19, 1953 December 1, 1956 Dwight Eisenhower
(1953–1961)
Raymond Saulnier December 3, 1956 January 20, 1961
Walter Heller January 29, 1961 November 15, 1964 John F. Kennedy
(1961–1963)
Lyndon Johnson
(1963–1969)
Gardner Ackley November 16, 1964 February 15, 1968
Arthur Okun February 15, 1968 January 20, 1969
Paul McCracken February 4, 1969 December 31, 1971 Richard Nixon
(1969–1974)
Herbert Stein January 1, 1972 August 31, 1974
Gerald Ford
(1974–1977)
Alan Greenspan September 4, 1974 January 20, 1977
Charles Schultze January 22, 1977 January 20, 1981 Jimmy Carter
(1977–1981)
Murray Weidenbaum February 27, 1981 August 25, 1982 Ronald Reagan
(1981–1989)
Marty Feldstein October 14, 1982 July 10, 1984
Beryl Sprinkel April 18, 1985 January 20, 1989
Michael Boskin February 2, 1989 January 20, 1993 George H. W. Bush
(1989–1993)
Laura Tyson February 5, 1993 April 22, 1995 Bill Clinton
(1993–2001)
Joe Stiglitz June 28, 1995 February 10, 1997
Janet Yellen February 18, 1997 August 3, 1999
Martin Baily August 12, 1999 January 20, 2001
Glenn Hubbard May 11, 2001 February 28, 2003 George W. Bush
(2001–2009)
Greg Mankiw May 29, 2003 February 18, 2005
Harvey Rosen February 23, 2005 June 10, 2005
Ben Bernanke June 21, 2005 January 31, 2006
Edward Lazear February 27, 2006 January 20, 2009
Christina Romer January 29, 2009 September 3, 2010 Barack Obama
(2009–2017)
Austan Goolsbee September 10, 2010 August 5, 2011
Alan Krueger November 7, 2011 August 2, 2013
Jason Furman[14] August 2, 2013 January 20, 2017
Kevin Hassett[15] September 13, 2017 June 28, 2019 Donald Trump
(2017–2021)
Tomas Philipson
Acting 		June 28, 2019 June 23, 2020
Tyler Goodspeed
Acting 		June 23, 2020 January 7, 2021
Cecilia Rouse March 12, 2021 March 31, 2023 Joe Biden
(2021–2025)
Jared Bernstein July 10, 2023 Incumbent

Chief Advisers

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Members

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References

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  1. ^ a b Wage and Price Controls Encyclopedia.com n.d.
  2. ^ Council of Economic Advisers
  3. ^ "Economic Report of the President". govinfo.
  4. ^ "Economic Report of the President | CEA". The White House. Retrieved 2023-06-04.
  5. ^ "Economic Report of the President". The White House. Retrieved 2023-06-04.
  6. ^ "History of the CEA". The White House. Retrieved 4 May 2021.(Public domain Public domain)
  7. ^ a b Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan. Receipt of the Truman Medal for Economic Policy. Before the Truman Medal Award and Economics Conference, Kansas City, Missouri October 26, 2005, Council of Economic Advisers website under President Bush
  8. ^ Brune 1989
  9. ^ Engelbourg 1980
  10. ^ Salant 1973
  11. ^ Cimbala and Stout 1983
  12. ^ a b Flickenschild; Michael, Afonso, Alexandre (2018). "Networks of economic policy expertise in Germany and the United States in the wake of the Great Recession". Journal of European Public Policy. 26 (9): 1292–1311. doi:10.1080/13501763.2018.1518992. hdl:1887/71157.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  13. ^ Council of Economic Advisers. Staff Whitehouse.gov, n.d. accessed 29 July 2017
  14. ^ "Obama names Furman as new White House chief economist". Reuters. 2013-06-10.
  15. ^ "Senate Confirms Kevin Hassett as Chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers". The Wall Street Journal. 2017-09-12.
  16. ^ "Rauh named Principal Economic Adviser". 20 November 2019. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
  17. ^ "Kevin Corinth Bio". American Enterprise Institute - AEI. Retrieved March 21, 2024.
  18. ^ "Tedeschi tapped to be Chief Economist". Retrieved March 21, 2024.

Sources

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